Tag Archives: public opinion

Cycles in American National Electoral Politics, 1854-2006: Statistical Evidence and an Explanatory Model

In every case, he was startlingly correct; as predicted, the nation’s ideological mood reversed about every 15 years.

In 1924, Arthur Schlesinger famously predicted that “Coolidge-style conservatism would last till about 1932.” Later, he added that the “prevailing liberal mood would run its course in about 1947.” In 1949, he predicted once again that “the recession [...]

Framing Public Opinion in Competitive Democracies

The public wouldn’t get the policies it wants; it would get the policies it was duped into wanting.

In a democracy, politicians and policy outcomes should be responsive to changes in public opinion. But what if politicians (or others, such as media commentators) were able to manipulate public opinion through propaganda or other, more subtle methods? [...]

Effects of “In-Your-Face” Television Discourse on Perceptions of a Legitimate Opposition

Do we truly believe that ALL red-state residents are ignorant racist fascist knuckle-dragging NASCAR-obsessed cousin-marrying road-kill-eating tobacco-juice-dribbling gun-fondling religious fanatic rednecks; or that ALL blue-state residents are godless unpatriotic pierced-nose Volvo-driving France-loving left-wing Communist latte-sucking tofu-chomping holistic-wacko neurotic vegan weenie perverts?1
With that opening quotation from Dave Barry, Mutz introduces her central question: How do Americans [...]